Planforce Sales Forecasting

From historical sales to executable forecasts, all in one platform — it auto-selects the best model, breaks down every factor’s impact, and lets AI explain the result in plain language. Forecasts can be reviewed and adjusted before release — the final call is always yours.

The problems you face today

No one is sure which algorithm to use — one fixed model for every SKU makes forecasts hit or miss; the model gives a number but can’t say why, so the business doesn’t fully trust it; and you worry about being fooled by variables only known after the fact, or about AI scrambling the numbers.

Sales forecasting — one engine from history to an executable forecast

Forecasting is no longer the manual grind of tuning a model per SKU — Planforce puts the whole chain, from ingesting history to publishing forecasts, into one engine that auto-selects models, stays explainable, and keeps a full audit trail.

1
Ingest history
Sales organized by SKU × channel × time, with anomalies and gaps auto-cleaned.
2
Auto-select model
Each series is benchmarked across 20+ models and the best is picked by backtest error (sparse → intermittent models, dense → global ML).
3
Factor attribution
Each factor's direction and contribution is decomposed, predictability is graded, and "trap factors" are filtered out.
4
Human calibration
Planners can adjust the forecast — the decision always stays with people.
5
Publish & execute
Forecasts are released downstream (replenishment / budgeting / S&OP), with an AI-generated narrative.
No algorithm expertise needed
The platform benchmarks a set of models and picks the best by backtest — choosing the model no longer requires you to know the algorithms.
Every number is questionable
Factor contributions can be decomposed and predictability inspected — forecasts move from "trust or not" to "understandable and challengeable".
Numbers you can trust
Honest backtesting never reads future values, and AI only explains — it never changes the numbers, so there is no "AI made it up" risk by design.

Core capabilities & backtest results

① Multi-model auto-selection Production
20+ time-series models + 7 driver regressions + global ML (LightGBM/XGBoost/ensemble); a leaderboard auto-picks the best by backtest, so choosing a model needs no algorithm expertise.
② Factor impact & predictability Production
Per-sample contribution decomposition (direction / elasticity / shape) + predictability grading + trap-factor gating + honest backtesting that never reads future values — not just a number, but why and which factors can be trusted.
③ AI explains, never changes numbers Production
Numbers must be quoted verbatim from structured facts and re-validated server-side; AI never touches the forecast numbers, eliminating "AI fabrication" by design.
Backtest results
On one enterprise's sales data (holdout 2025-02-20 ~ 03-19, 40 series), versus the statistical baseline:
MetricBaselinePlanforceGain
Overall forecast accuracy86.4%92.1%+5.7pp
WAPE (lower is better)13.6%7.9%−5.7pp
Unit-weighted A-grade accuracy91.7%96.6%+4.9pp
Single-customer backtest · specific time window · anonymized under NDA · not a general guarantee; actual results depend on your data.
CapabilityMaturity
Multi-model auto-selection (20+ TS / 7 driver / global ML)Production
Factor decomposition + predictability grading + trap-factor gatingProduction
Honest backtesting (no future-value leakage)Production
AI explanation (explains only, never changes numbers + value check)Production
Multi-tenant SaaS (RLS / metering & billing / async worker)Production
Data cleaning / hierarchy reconciliation / activity upliftEngine: production Some data: sample
External real-time data sources (weather / 3rd-party) as sales factorsdemo · roadmap
Raw-material price forecasting moduledemo

Data & go-live scope

  • The engine and platform are production-grade: 130 backend tests passing, PostgreSQL row-level security (RLS) cross-tenant isolation verified, and a live docker stack (API / Worker / PG / Redis / object storage) running.
  • Backtest accuracy is a single-customer figure — new customers should backtest on their own data before any commitment; no universal guarantee.
  • External real-time data sources (weather / 3rd-party) as sales factors are on the roadmap; today we use known factors such as calendar / promotions + importable proprietary factors.
  • Positioning: private-deployment ready, designed for domestic / localized environments (we do not yet claim formal certification).
AI safety boundary
Forecasts are produced by statistical / ML models (not LLM-generated numbers); AI only turns results into plain-language explanations and never touches the forecast numbers — so there is no risk of "AI scrambling the forecast".

Customers: serving 200+ enterprises, 15 years of experience

200+
enterprise customers served
15 yrs
of industry & implementation experience
Public / private / localized
full-stack deployment options
Selected customers
KobayashiAstraZenecaMeituan

Reference backtest: one enterprise’s sales forecasting — ingest historical sales → auto-benchmark 20+ models → factor attribution & predictability assessment → AI-generated narrative; overall accuracy improved from 86.4% to 92.1% versus the statistical baseline (single-customer backtest, specific window, not a general guarantee).

Frequently asked questions

The platform auto-benchmarks 20+ models per sales series and picks the best by backtest, so you don’t need to know the algorithms.

On one enterprise’s backtest, overall accuracy rose from 86.4% to 92.1% and WAPE dropped from 13.6% to 7.9% versus the statistical baseline (single-customer figure, specific window, not a general guarantee); actual results depend on your data.

No. AI only explains the results in plain language; all numbers come from the models and factor contributions, AI is forced to quote them verbatim with server-side validation, and AI never touches the forecast numbers themselves.

Yes. Every forecast is decomposed into each factor’s direction and contribution, each factor is graded for predictability, and “trap factors” that cheat with future values are filtered out automatically.

See how accurately it forecasts on your own data
Multi-model auto-selection, explainable factors, and AI that only explains — never changes the numbers. Book a demo and we'll backtest it on your historical sales.
Book a demo